Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Sparekassen Thyhallerne Arena (Thisted)


	Thisted		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	5.1	4.05	1.58
	5.42	4.04	1.56
	5.47	4.07	1.57	Watch
	5.35	3.92	1.57
	5.1	4.05	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.15)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thisted
17.8%

Draw
23.2%

Aarhus Fremad
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

24.4%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thisted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Thisted - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raahauge A. (G) 9. Andersen M. 2. Andreasen O. 21. Foe Nuphaus J. 29. Hansen J. 11. Horby C. 10. Maarouf M. 6. Mehl N. 4. Myrthue M. 8. Seedorff E. 20. Sorensen H.	1. Pena B. (G) 8. Baekgard S. 22. Buch S. 14. de Claville Berthelsen M. 6. Grube F. 17. Kirchheiner M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 11. Lunding K. 9. Mikkelsen T. 5. Nissen E. 29. Segun
Substitutes
27. Agesen L. 33. Dalgaard J. 22. Engstrom V. 19. Immersen M. 3. Laustsen E. 15. Stricker S. (G)	32. Agnarsson M. 34. Denius S. 16. Holvad A. 2. Junge E. 10. Mortensen E. 26. Thorsen J. 30. Vedel-Birch Andersen C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Holvad A. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Agnarsson M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thisted won 0.

Thisted is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aarhus Fremad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aarhus Fremad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aarhus Fremad is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Thisted won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Thisted won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thisted FC
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.24	Brabrand - Thisted	3:0 ✺
Danish 2 Division
07.09.24	AB Copenhagen - Thisted	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Thisted - Næstved BK	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Helsingør - Thisted	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Thisted - Nykøbing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLLW
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 2 Division
07.09.24	Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	VSK Aarhus - Aarhus Fremad	2:1 ✺
Danish 2 Division
30.08.24	Aarhus Fremad - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	AB Copenhagen - Aarhus Fremad	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Aarhus Fremad - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
09.03.24	Aarhus Fremad - Thisted	1:0
02.09.23	Thisted - Aarhus Fremad	1:3
10.06.23	Thisted - Aarhus Fremad	0:1
22.04.23	Aarhus Fremad - Thisted	2:1
05.11.22	Aarhus Fremad - Thisted	5:0
07.08.22	Thisted - Aarhus Fremad	0:4
14.11.21	Thisted - Aarhus Fremad	2:1

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