Match Info

1st Division - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Tornberg Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fredericia		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.61	3.75	4.70	Watch
	1.58	4.40	5.49
	1.55	4.27	5.46	Watch
	1.55	4.25	5.40
	1.55	4.15	5.32	Watch
	1.53	4.00	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)	4.1 ↑ (3.85)	5.23 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
59.6%

Draw
22.6%

Aarhus Fremad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredericia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Birkso V. (G) 12. Crone S. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. (C) 16. Dauerhoj L. 20. Haarbo D. 6. Winther F. 9. Egelund P. 23. Lindekilde J. 14. Dahl A. 17. Thomsen N.	1. Hojbjerg V. (G) 6. Grube F. 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 33. Ludwig A. 4. Pisani A. 15. Nygaard C. 11. Lunding K. 12. Ryberg M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 7. Kaastrup M. 28. Egerton E.
Substitutes
22. Bunten F. 11. Hansborg E. 24. Jorgensen C. 15. Ladefoged M. 3. Nygaard A. 18. Pyndt A. 44. Risom C. (G) 10. Simonsen E. 21. Vest O.	70. Beluli J. 17. Bernasko Appu D. 21. de Claville M. 13. de Paoli V. (G) 20. Hjaltason O. 2. Kjolby M. 23. Kristjansson I. 22. Ostergaard J. 14. Ronnberg L.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Damgaard M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Egelund P. ↓, Jorgensen C. ↑,
46', Winther F. ↓, Simonsen E. ↑,
46', Kudsk J. ↓, Nygaard A. ↑,
48', Dauerhoj L. 🟨,
66', Dahl A. ↓, Pyndt A. ↑,
66', Ryberg M. ↓, de Claville M. ↑,
72', Lunding K. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
72', Egerton E. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
72', Nygaard C. ↓, Ostergaard J. ↑,
81', Ludwig A. 🟨,
81', Grube F. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
84', Haarbo D. 🟨,
88', Haarbo D. ↓, Hansborg E. ↑,
90+3', Crone S. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ))

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Fredericia is the team to beat.

We predict that Fredericia will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fredericia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Fredericia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fredericia	10	4	5	1	14:6	8	17
6	Aarhus Fremad	10	3	4	3	10:11	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
14.08.26	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Fredericia - Vendsyssel	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	SfB-Oure - Fredericia	0:6 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	AB Copenhagen - Fredericia	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Fredericia - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTW
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division
15.08.26	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Hobro - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Brabrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.01.26	Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad	4:4
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.14	Aarhus Fremad - Fredericia	2:1

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