Match Info

2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Riisvangen (Aarhus)


	Aarhus Fremad		Næstved BK

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.69	3.5	4.25
	1.74	3.55	4.55
				Watch
	1.74	3.84	4.44
	1.69	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.47)	3.63 ↓ (4.25)	4.46 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus Fremad
54.3%

Draw
25.2%

Næstved BK
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus Fremad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aarhus Fremad's form might have worsened.

Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Næstved BK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aarhus Fremad - Næstved BK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Næstved (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Næstved (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Næstved (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kiilerich K. (G) 3. Agnarsson M. 14. de Claville Berthelsen M. 28. Egerton E. 6. Grube F. 16. Holvad A. 27. Kirchheiner M. 17. Kubel M. 11. Lunding K. 5. Nissen E. 29. Segun	1. Jorgensen J. (G) 10. Carlson M. 15. Friedrich C. 2. Gertsen J. 5. Host M. 16. Jorgensen M. 8. Kongstedt M. 13. Kristensen M. 6. Madsen S. 22. Overgaard C. J. 3. Tattum S.
Substitutes
23. Andreasen O. 8. Baekgard S. 70. Beluli J. 34. Denius S. 32. Hjaltason O. 24. Thorsen J. 30. Vedel-Birch Andersen C. (G)	26. Christiansen M. 12. El-Beltagi J. (G) 18. Moller G. 29. Nehme A. 19. Rugaard M. 23. Rusborg E. 30. Villadsen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, ⚽,
28', 🟨,
29', 4 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
73', 5 - 0, ⚽,
79', 6 - 0, ⚽,
85', 7 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Aarhus Fremad is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Næstved has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Aarhus Fremad is considered a favorite.

We predict that Aarhus Fremad will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus Fremad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 2 Division
26.04.25	Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	AB Copenhagen - Aarhus Fremad	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Aarhus Fremad - AB Copenhagen	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	0:4 ✺
29.03.25	Aarhus Fremad - Thisted	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Næstved BK
Danish 2 Division
27.04.25	Skive IK - Næstved BK	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Næstved BK - Fremad Amager	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Helsingør - Næstved BK	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Næstved BK - Ishøj IF	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Nykøbing - Næstved BK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
10.11.24	Næstved BK - Aarhus Fremad	1:0
17.08.24	Aarhus Fremad - Næstved BK	2:0
31.10.21	Næstved BK - Aarhus Fremad	1:1
12.09.21	Aarhus Fremad - Næstved BK	1:1

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