Match Info

Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday


	Aberdeen		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.5	3.8	7
	1.5	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.53	3.65	6.6
	1.54	3.88	7.91
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.54	3.88	6.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	3.86 ↓ (4.24)	7.13 ↓ (7.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
62.3%

Draw
24.5%

Hamilton Academical
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

12.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aberdeen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamilton Academical could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Premiership (Championship Group) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group)).

Aberdeen is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group)

Hamilton is Premiership (Relegation Group)

Aberdeen has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hamilton has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Aberdeen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hamilton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aberdeen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aberdeen is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 38-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Aberdeen won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
27.02.21	Celtic - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	Aberdeen - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Celtic - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
13.02.21	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	0:0 ✺
06.02.21	Hibernian - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTL
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Premier League
03.03.21	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Hibernian - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	St. Mirren - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Motherwell - Hamilton Academical	1:4 ✺
07.02.21	Hamilton Academical - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
25.11.20	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	1:1
20.10.20	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	4:2
11.02.20	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	1:3
14.12.19	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	1:0
30.10.19	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	0:1
27.02.19	Aberdeen - Hamilton Academical	0:2
23.01.19	Hamilton Academical - Aberdeen	0:3

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