Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Hamilton Academical		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.72
	4.7	3.75	1.72	Watch
	5.2	3.5	1.67
	5.49	3.83	1.7
	5.25	3.5	1.7	Watch
	5.15	3.65	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (4.45)	3.65 ↓ (3.71)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
18.6%

Draw
25.8%

St. Johnstone
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.4%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

20.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Johnstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	5.4%	78.4%

Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Johnstone will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group)).

Hamilton is Premiership (Relegation Group)

Hamilton has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

St. Johnstone has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hamilton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently St. Johnstone have a series of guest games.

In this match St. Johnstone is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 20-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Premier League
20.02.21	Hibernian - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	St. Mirren - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Motherwell - Hamilton Academical	1:4 ✺
07.02.21	Hamilton Academical - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Hamilton Academical - Ross County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.8 LTWTL
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish League Cup
28.02.21	Livingston - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
20.02.21	Motherwell - St. Johnstone	0:3 ✺
14.02.21	St. Johnstone - Celtic	1:2 ✺
06.02.21	Livingston - St. Johnstone	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Glasgow Rangers - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
30.12.20	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	0:0
17.10.20	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	3:5
26.12.19	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	0:1
26.10.19	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	3:2
18.05.19	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	2:0
06.02.19	Hamilton Academical - St. Johnstone	2:1
Scottish Cup
19.01.19	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	2:0

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