Match Info

Premiership - Round 11

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ross D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Nigeria	20:45	Red TV
United Kingdom	19:45	Falkirk TV


	Aberdeen		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	2.00	3.50	3.40
	1.98	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.55	3.92
	1.99	3.49	3.79	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.8
	1.97	3.45	3.68	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
47.5%

Draw
27.2%

Falkirk
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Aberdeen - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Falkirk will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Muller M. (G) 28. Cadden Ch. 21. Molloy G. 26. Happe D. 24. Guinness-Walker N. 8. Lyons B. 32. Aremu A. 11. Smith L. 15. Nisbet K. (C) 17. Armstrong S. 9. Mouloua A.	19. Bain S. (G) 22. Strain R. 15. Neilson L. 5. Henderson L. 3. McCann L. 21. Melniks D. 8. Spencer B. (C) 23. Ross E. 16. Barbrook F. 42. Eames O. 24. Murrell J.
Substitutes
10. Briedl A. 2. Devlin N. 30. Klein D. (G) 14. Mahou H. 40. Marshall F. 22. Milne J. 31. Ntelo M. 20. Olusanya T. 4. Tobers K.	99. Fodrey C. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 28. Krauhaus B. 9. MacIver R. 27. McLeod C. 7. Parkinson B. 10. Sibbald C. 17. Tanser S. 14. Yeats F.
Coaches
Robinson S.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Happe D. 🟨,
39', McCann L. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Cadden Ch. ↓, Devlin N. ↑,
57', Smith L. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
57', Aremu A. ↓, Marshall F. ↑,
65', Melniks D. ↓, Krauhaus B. ↑,
66', Murrell J. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
66', Mouloua A. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
66', Happe D. ↓, Milne J. ↑,
69', Eames O. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Krauhaus B. ⚽, Strain R. (A),
73', Marshall F. 🟨,
79', Ross E. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
79', Eames O. ↓, McLeod C. ↑,
80', McLeod C. 🟨,
83', Krauhaus B. 🟨,
89', Spencer B. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In recent outings, Aberdeen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Falkirk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aberdeen holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Aberdeen: Tobers K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Falkirk: Adams K. (Ankle Injury) Doherty A. (Foot Injury) Gardner J. (Thigh Injury) Laidlaw E. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aberdeen has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.4:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aberdeen against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Falkirk	11	4	3	4	13:12	1	15
9	Aberdeen	11	3	2	6	12:14	-2	11

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Falkirk: 0.12% Aberdeen: 0.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
24.10.26	Dundee United - Aberdeen	3:2 ✺
17.10.26	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
19.09.26	Hibernian - Aberdeen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWT
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
24.10.26	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	3:0 ✺
17.10.26	Hibernian - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Falkirk - Dundee	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	St. Johnstone - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Falkirk - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
14.03.26	Aberdeen - Falkirk	1:1
03.01.26	Falkirk - Aberdeen	1:0
31.08.25	Aberdeen - Falkirk	0:1
Club Friendly
04.07.18	Aberdeen - Falkirk	1:0
Scottish League Cup
25.09.13	Falkirk - Aberdeen	0:5

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