The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 51.3%
Draw 27.3%
St. Johnstone 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
25.2%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
27.7%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 60%). St. Johnstone will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. O'Hara K. (G) 6. Deas R. 5. Mayo L. 4. Wright J. 15. Murray F. 16. Magennis K. 8. Lyons B. (C) 31. Polworth L. 3. Ndaba C. 24. Wales B. 23. Watkins M.
1. Fisher A. (G) 23. Sprangler S. (C) 2. Mikulic B. 4. Balodis D. 14. Wright D. 8. Svedberg J. 44. Watt E. 30. Douglas B. 37. Curtis S. 6. Griffith V. 27. Kirk M.
Substitutes
19. Anderson B. 11. Armstrong D. 18. Cameron I. 22. Donnelly L. 10. Kennedy M. 20. McCrorie R. (G) 21. Ramsay C. 12. Watson D. 2. Wilson-Brown T.
11. Carey G. 10. Clark N. 21. Duke-McKenna S. 46. Franczak F. 7. Holt J. 5. Mitchell Z. 16. Sidibeh A. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T.
Coaches
McInnes D.
Valakari S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Polworth L. ⚽, Wales B. (A),
23', Griffith V. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
41', Wright D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Curtis S. ↓, Mitchell Z. ↑,
46', Douglas B. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
49', Mayo L. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Murray F. ⚽,
57', Watt E. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Wales B. ⚽, Mayo L. (A),
67', Magennis K. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
68', Kirk M. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
80', Wales B. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
85', Watkins M. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
85', Murray F. ↓, Kennedy M. ↑,
85', Polworth L. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Carey G. ⚽, Svedberg J. (A),
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 2.
Kilmarnock is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
St. Johnstone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
St. Johnstone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Kilmarnock is a favorite.
There will not play in Kilmarnock: Armstrong D.
(Yellow Cards)
McCrorie R.
(Injury)
There will not play in St. Johnstone: Kimpioka B.
(Injury)
McClelland S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in St. Johnstone: MacPherson C.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:20 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.3:1.1).