The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 37.4%
Draw 27%
St. Johnstone 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.1%
26.1%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
26.9%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kilmarnock that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Johnstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Kilmarnock (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by St. Johnstone have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kilmarnock against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
St Johnstone
11
3
4
4
13:17
-4
13
12
Kilmarnock
11
2
2
7
11:26
-15
8
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
St Johnstone: 0.33% Kilmarnock: 0.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Kilmarnock - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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