The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kilmarnock 34.2%
Draw 27%
Aberdeen 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
27.1%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
26.3%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Kilmarnock - Aberdeen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stryjek M. (G) 2. Brandon J. 4. McCarthy C. 14. Stanger G. 21. Schjonning-Larsen M. 36. Tshibola A. 11. Kiltie G. (C) 18. Lowery T. 8. Ring E. 29. Daniels D. 9. Hugill J.
27. Muller M. (G) 28. Cadden Ch. 26. Happe D. 23. Mayo L. 5. Knoester M. 24. Guinness-Walker N. 25. Ronan C. 32. Aremu A. 17. Armstrong S. 31. Ntelo M. 15. Nisbet K. (C)
Substitutes
20. Clescenco N. 12. Ferrie C. (G) 10. John-Jules T. 3. Kamara M. 7. McKenzie R. 19. Meier J. 5. O'Hara M. 27. Owen I. 49. Rice B.
10. Briedl A. 30. Klein D. (G) 40. Marshall F. 22. Milne J. 21. Molloy G. 9. Mouloua A. 20. Olusanya T. 11. Smith L. 7. Yogane T.
Coaches
McCann N.
Robinson S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Happe D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ntelo M. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
46', Daniels D. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Nisbet K. ⚽, Ronan C. (A),
55', Aremu A. 🟨,
57', Happe D. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, John-Jules T. ⚽, Kiltie G. (A),
64', Aremu A. ↓, Briedl A. ↑,
64', Ronan C. ↓, Molloy G. ↑,
70', Ring E. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
76', Brandon J. 🟨,
80', Brandon J. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
85', Kiltie G. ↓, Clescenco N. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Armstrong S. ↓, Marshall F. ↑,
101', Lowery T. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
110', Nisbet K. ↓, Mouloua A. ↑,
116', Cadden Ch. ↓, Milne J. ↑,
120', McCarthy C. 🟨,
120', Tshibola A. 🟨,
120+1', Olusanya T. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Hugill J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Guinness-Walker N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, John-Jules T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Briedl A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, O'Hara M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mouloua A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Tshibola A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Milne J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Recently, Kilmarnock has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
Outrights of Scottish League Cup for now
Aberdeen: 11.54%
Last Results with these Odds
Kilmarnock - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.94%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Aberdeen - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.98%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.