Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Afan Lido		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.1
	1.63	4.25	4.11
	1.66	4.18	4.39	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.05
	1.59	4.05	4.46
	1.61	3.9	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)	4.06 ↓ (4.5)	4.2 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
56%

Draw
22.4%

Pontardawe Town
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Samuel L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Pascoe J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Afan Lido is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11
11	Pontardawe	8	3	0	5	14:16	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
14.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:5 ✺
18.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Newport City	0:4 ✺
07.08.26	Pontypridd United - Pontardawe Town	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Caerphilly Athletic	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontardawe Town	5:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
20.04.24	Baglan Dragons - Pontardawe Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
10.02.24	Pontardawe Town - Afan Lido	2:3
22.09.23	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	2:3
11.02.23	Pontardawe Town - Afan Lido	1:2
05.11.22	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	3:3

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