Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Ammanford		Taffs Well AFC

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.75	3.15
	1.92	3.84	3.06
	1.86	3.98	3.61	Watch
	1.94	3.72	3.18
	1.94	3.75	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	3.23 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
47.7%

Draw
24%

Taffs Well AFC
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ammanford's performance.

Taffs Well AFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taffs Well AFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taffs Well AFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Thomas C. ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, Rhys D. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Harrison L. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

Taffs Well could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ammanford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
14.09.24	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	4:0 ✺
23.08.24	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:3 ✺
18.08.24	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Ammanford - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL
- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh FA Cup
21.09.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.09.24	Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
26.08.24	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Taffs Well AFC - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
20.04.24	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	1:3
Welsh FA Cup
15.09.23	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
28.07.23	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	1:0
25.03.23	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	0:1
19.08.22	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	0:5
08.04.22	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	0:1
30.07.21	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	2:4

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