Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 6

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday


	Abergavenny Town		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.76	1.85
	3.54	3.88	1.83
	3.4	3.7	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.08)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	1.84 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abergavenny Town
26.7%

Draw
24%

Cwmbran Celtic
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.7%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abergavenny Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cwmbran Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Abergavenny Town has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cwmbran Celtic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cwmbran Celtic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Cwmbran Celtic to win the game is with odds 1.83.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Abergavenny Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Abergavenny Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.23	Ammanford - Abergavenny Town	3:1 ✺
11.08.23	Abergavenny Town - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
08.08.23	Abergavenny Town - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Caerau Ely - Abergavenny Town	4:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
21.07.23	Abergavenny Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
28.08.23	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3 ✺
19.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	0:1 ✺
27.07.23	Goytre United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
22.07.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.01.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Abergavenny Town	2:1
27.12.22	Abergavenny Town - Cwmbran Celtic	0:3

Abergavenny Town - Cwmbran Celtic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide