Match Info

WALES: PREMIER WOMEN - ROUND 14

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Aberystwyth Town		TNS

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	2.55
	2.21	3.67	2.58
	2.11	3.96	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)	3.84 ↓ (4.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
42.1%

Draw
23.4%

TNS
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

20.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

20%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

TNS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TNS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TNS than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TNS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier Women (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Premier Women (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Aberystwyth Town is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TNS is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TNS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town Women
Welsh Premier Women
04.02.24	Swansea City - Aberystwyth Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.24	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	Wrexham - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Pontypridd United - Aberystwyth Town	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Aberystwyth Town - Cardiff City	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.8 TWLTL
- TNS Women
Welsh Premier Women
28.01.24	Swansea City - TNS	5:0 ✺
24.01.24	TNS - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	Barry Town United - TNS	4:1 ✺
14.01.24	TNS - Cardiff City	0:6 ✺
17.12.23	TNS - Cardiff Metropolitan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Premier Women
05.11.23	TNS - Aberystwyth Town	4:3
04.12.22	Aberystwyth Town - TNS	3:3
25.09.22	TNS - Aberystwyth Town	3:0
28.11.21	Aberystwyth Town - TNS	1:0
06.10.21	TNS - Aberystwyth Town	2:0

Aberystwyth Town - TNS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide