Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Abha		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.57
	4.8	4.4	1.57
	5	4.33	1.55	Watch
	5.4	4.67	1.55
	5.16	4.65	1.56
	4.6	4.2	1.44
	5.05	4.45	1.52
	4.9	4.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.47)	4.41 ↑ (4.23)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Abha
18.7%

Draw
21%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

21.2%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

20.5%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Abha - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 17. Al Qumayzi S. 4. Natiq S. 18. Noguera F. 24. Al Oufi M. 21. Al Sudani Z. 5. Krychowiak G. 14. Jumayah F. 10. Bguir S. (C) 7. Toko Ekambi K. 71. Abdu A.	16. Mendy E. (G) 6. Al Hurayji B. 37. Hindi A. 3. Ibanez 31. Balobaid S. 79. Kessie F. 29. Al Majhad M. 7. Mahrez R. 24. Veiga G. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 20. Al Brikan F.
Substitutes
9. Al Ali H. 12. Al Bouq A. (G) 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 30. Al Sahafi Z. 88. Al Salouli S. 80. Al Shammry A. 11. Kamano F. 8. Matic U. 3. Naji M.	40. Al Asmari A. 30. Al Johani Z. 8. Alnabit S. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 13. Al Zubaidi I. 45. Darisi A. 10. Firmino R. 46. Hamidou R. 27. Majrashi A.
Coaches
Manai Y.	Jaissle M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Abha won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Al-Ahli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Abha won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Abha won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
25.11.23	Damac - Abha	4:2 ✺
10.11.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Abha	4:2 ✺
04.11.23	Abha - Al Akhdoud	3:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
31.10.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.10.23	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 LLWWW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
25.11.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:0 ✺
09.11.23	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	3:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
31.10.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
27.10.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
31.10.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	1:2
Saudi Professional League
22.05.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	1:1
21.11.21	Abha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0
25.05.21	Abha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
19.01.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	3:0
04.09.20	Abha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1
13.01.20	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	3:1

Upcoming Matches