Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 10

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App


	Damac		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.9	1.36
	8.75	5.75	1.28
	7.7	4.65	1.36
	7.98	5.26	1.34	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.33
	9.71	4.8	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.19 ↓ (9.38)	4.76 ↓ (5.86)	1.34 ↑ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
11.3%

Draw
19.5%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

15.7%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Damac - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.75 - Damac (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Abdullah A. Q. 8. Vada V. 6. Abdullah T. 20. Al Anazi D. 11. Meite Y. 2. Sylla M.	16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 7. Mahrez R. 79. Kessie F. 6. Atangana V. 13. Galeno 10. Millot E. 17. Toney I.
Substitutes
33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 18. Al Saadi N. 17. Al Salkhadi M. 88. Al Samiri K. 80. Naji Y. 14. Okita J. 5. Rabea H.	29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 72. Al Jadany S. (G) 30. Al Johani Z. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Harkass J. 🟨,
36', Sylla M. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Kessie F. ⚽, Ibanez (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Abdullah A. Q. ↓, Okita J. ↑,
76', Millot E. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
80', Abdullah T. ↓, Al Salkhadi M. ↑,
85', Majrashi A. 🟨,
88', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
88', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
88', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
89', Al Obaid A. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
90+8', Meite Y. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0.

Recent form of Damac has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Ahli is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damac may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Damac won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 74.57%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
20.02.26	Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3 ✺
12.02.26	Damac - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Damac - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Neom - Damac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTL
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
19.02.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.02.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli	4:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
09.02.26	Al-Wahda - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
05.02.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Hazem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
21.02.25	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2
20.09.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	4:2
02.05.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	4:1
09.11.23	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:2
21.01.22	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
25.08.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	1:1
06.03.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	1:3

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