The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah 58.5%
Draw 22.3%
Al-Shabab Riyadh 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
20.8%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
20.4%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 46. Hamidou R. 32. Dams M. 79. Kessie F. 30. Al Johani Z. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Millot E. 20. Matheus Goncalves 17. Toney I.
43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 66. Al Gulaymish N. 4. Hoedt W. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 31. Balobaid S. 7. Hernandez U. 14. Sierro V. 29. Adli Y. 94. Al Rajeh M. 10. Carrasco Y. 8. Brownhill J.
Substitutes
29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 14. Al Muwallad E. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 5. Sulaiman M.
64. Abdullah M. 34. Al Anzi S. 23. Al Awardi A. (G) 22. Al Hammami H. 6. Al Subiani F. 26. Haraj A. 38. Harbush M. 37. Matuq A.
Coaches
Jaissle M.
Alguacil I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Toney I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
72', Majrashi A. 🟨,
77', Al Shwirekh M. 🟥,
82', Hernandez U. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
83', Toney I. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
83', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
83', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
89', Millot E. 🟨,
90+1', Carrasco Y. 🟨,
90+2', Millot E. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
90+6', Adli Y. ↓, Al Subiani F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).