Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Damac		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.9	3.7	3.6
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.91	3.9
	1.93	3.87	3.71
	1.73	3.75	3.3
	1.84	3.74	3.7	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)	3.75 ↓ (4.03)	3.65 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
49.8%

Draw
24.8%

Abha
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damac's form might have worsened.

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Damac - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Mahasneh M. (G) 21. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Chafai F. 3. Bedrane A. 20. Al Anazi D. 16. Munshi B. M. 17. Antolic D. 49. Al Zain A. 31. Stanciu N. 10. N'Koudou G. 14. Al Shahrani A.	16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 14. Jumayah F. 17. Al Qumayzi S. 6. Jamal A. 18. Noguera F. 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 21. Al Sudani Z. 5. Krychowiak G. 8. Matic U. 10. Bguir S. 7. Toko Ekambi K.
Substitutes
99. Al Johani F. 2. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 4. Al Rashidi N. 9. Ceesay A. 41. Faqihi S. 22. Hawswi (G) 23. Majrashi A. 12. Makin A.	71. Abdu A. 9. Al Ali H. 12. Al Bouq A. (G) 24. Al Oufi M. 27. Al Qayed H. 88. Al Salouli S. 1. Al Shammari A. (G) 11. Kamano F. 3. Naji M.
Coaches
Contra C.	Manai Y.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Damac won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Damac is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Damac won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Damac won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
09.11.23	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Al-Taawoun - Damac	0:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
30.10.23	Al-Khaleej - Damac	2:1 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
26.10.23	Damac - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLWL
- Abha FC
Saudi Professional League
10.11.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Abha	4:2 ✺
04.11.23	Abha - Al Akhdoud	3:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
31.10.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.10.23	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Al Fateh - Abha	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.05.23	Damac - Abha	1:0
13.01.23	Abha - Damac	2:1
19.02.22	Damac - Abha	3:2
24.09.21	Abha - Damac	1:3
21.03.21	Abha - Damac	3:4
22.12.20	Damac - Abha	2:1
29.08.20	Damac - Abha	2:2

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