Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)


	Abha		Al-Riyadh

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.83	3.6	3.9
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.87	3.66	4.17
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.81	3.65	3.92	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)	3.92 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abha
51%

Draw
25.5%

Al-Riyadh
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

22.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Abha's performance.

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Abha - Al Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Tatarusanu C. (G) 17. Al Qumayzi S. 18. Noguera F. 21. Al Sudani Z. 3. Naji M. 8. Matic U. 5. Krychowiak G. 14. Jumayah F. 80. Al Shammeri A. 11. Kamano F. 7. Toko Ekambi K.	25. Campana M. (G) 4. Al Shwirekh M. 36. Arslanagic D. 5. Al Shuwayyi K. 6. Tosca A. 60. Toure B. 20. Ndong D. 11. Musona K. 10. Juanmi 7. Al Aqel M. 9. Gray A.
Substitutes
71. Abdu A. 12. Al Bouq A. (G) 13. Al Kunaydiri M. 77. Al Mutairi M. 24. Al Oufi M. 90. Al Ruwaili O. 30. Al Sahafi Z. 88. Al Salouli S. 10. Bguir S.	14. Al Abbas S. 12. Al Dossari A. 15. Al Harajin A. 18. Al Oqil M. 80. Al Rashidi F. 40. Al Shammeri A. (G) 3. Al Yami A. 29. Asiri A. 2. Kurdi A.
Coaches
Michniewicz C.	Ferrera Y.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Abha is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Riyadh has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Abha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Abha will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Abha won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi King Cup
27.09.23	Abha - Hajer	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.09.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Abha	4:0 ✺
16.09.23	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Al-Taee - Abha	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Abha - Al-Feiha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW
- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi King Cup
26.09.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.09.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:3 ✺
15.09.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh	6:1 ✺
01.09.23	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:1 ✺
28.08.23	Al Raed - Al-Riyadh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
24.10.14	Al-Riyadh - Abha	1:3

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