Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 34

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Riyadh		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.25
	1.4	4.85	6.5
	1.38	5.24	7.43
	1.38	5.26	6.7	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6
	1.36	5.12	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)	4.97 ↑ (4.59)	6.66 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
67.4%

Draw
18.7%

Al Akhdoud
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

19.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Riyadh's performance.

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Akhdoud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Al Riyadh - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Riyadh will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (C) 87. Tambakti M. H. 35. Al Siyahi A. 5. Barbet Y. 12. Hazazi S. 27. Lekhal V. 4. Gonzalez S. 20. Toze 10. Okou T. 9. Sylla M. 77. Antunes L.	1. Al Najjar R. (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. (C) 87. Hawsawi G. 17. Gul G. 21. Abu Abd M. 55. Borrell M. 13. Bassogog C. 12. Al Hatila A. 93. Nguen T. 19. Salem S. 99. Al Lazam K.
Substitutes
7. Al Boardi O. 33. Al Harfi A. 80. Al Khaibari A. I. 23. Al Khaibari M. 22. Al Shammari A. (G) 88. Al Shehri Y. 94. Al Sobhi F. 45. Bahri E. H. A. 99. Haroun S.	14. Al Abbas S. 10. Al Jahif M. 23. Al-Qahtani M. 98. Al Qaydhi M. 77. Balhareth S. 11. Ince B. 96. Majrashi A. 7. Narey K. 94. Samuel Portugal (G)
Coaches
Dulac M.	Al Jabal F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Toze ⚽, Hazazi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Lazam K. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
46', Gul G. ↓, Al-Qahtani M. ↑,
58', Al Zabdani H. 🟨,
60', Nguen T. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
60', Al Zabdani H. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
61', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Al Khaibari M. ↑,
64', Antunes L. 🟨,
69', Bassogog C. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
69', Hawsawi G. 🟨,
86', Antunes L. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
86', Sylla M. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
88', Lekhal V. 🟨,
90+2', Okou T. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al Akhdoud is Relegated to Division 1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Al-Riyadh is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
15.05.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Riyadh	4:2 ✺
29.04.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLL
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
16.05.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej	3:1 ✺
12.05.26	Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	4:0 ✺
30.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
23.04.26	Damac - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
21.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	2:2
08.03.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	1:0
20.10.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	0:1
01.03.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2
01.09.23	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:1
Saudi Division 1
08.02.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	1:2
07.09.22	Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:3

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