The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Anzoátegui 30.2%
Draw 29.1%
Universidad Central 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
26.6%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
25.5%
47.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Anzoátegui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
Academia Anzoátegui - Universidad Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Anzoátegui will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez W. (G) 18. Lovera J. 2. Bonilla P. 22. Guevara D. 30. Granados J. 70. Rojas P. 29. Gonzalez L. 8. Ruiz E. 7. Marin G. (C) 21. Velasco A. 9. Tegues D.
13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 24. Cumana Y. 19. Simarra A. 4. Velasquez W. 10. Sosa S. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 7. Cuesta J. 9. Murillo Y. 8. Zapata J.
Substitutes
77. Barrios C. 17. Caraballo J. 88. Cardozo A. 20. Castellano J. 10. Contreras A. 12. Montes J. (G) 55. Moreno A. 4. Moreno J. 11. Navas E. 72. Perez L. 99. Sinza F.
27. Carrillo D. 57. Cermeno C. 15. Davis R. 16. De Sousa D. 47. Granko A. 14. Mendoza K. 1. Morales L. (G) 21. Ortiz C. 3. Ramirez R. 17. Rodriguez V. 28. Ruiz M. 18. Sarli R.
Coaches
Maldonado G.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Cuesta J. ⚽, Murillo Y. (A),
19', Sole F. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Simarra A. (Own goal),
41', Velasco A. 🟨,
41', Cumana Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Simarra A. 🟨,
64', Sosa S. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
64', Cumana Y. ↓, Carrillo D. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Murillo Y. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
68', Gonzalez L. ↓, Sinza F. ↑,
68', Tegues D. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Granados J. ⚽, Marin G. (A),
78', Simarra A. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
78', Murillo Y. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
78', Velasco A. ↓, Navas E. ↑,
78', Marin G. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Moreno J. (Own goal),
86', Sole F. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
86', Bonilla P. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
87', Guevara D. 🟨,
90+2', Cuesta J. 🟨,
90+3', Rojas P. 🟨,
90+6', Zapata J. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 4-2. Aggregate: 5-3. 2nd leg.
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anzoátegui won 0.
Anzoátegui is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Universidad Central has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Universidad Central might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Anzoátegui won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Anzoátegui won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Universidad Central
11
4
3
4
12:11
1
15
14
Anzoategui FC
11
1
2
8
6:20
-14
5
Last Results with these Odds
Academia Anzoátegui - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Hernandez W. (G) 
Rojas P. 
Gonzalez A. 
Sole F. 
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