The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Puerto Cabello 46.1%
Draw 29%
Universidad Central 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
25.9%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
27%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Puerto Cabello's form might have worsened.
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Herrera E. (G) 29. Vargas J. 44. Melendez G. 14. Bortagaray G. 27. Linares H. 17. Martinez J. 5. Gonzalez G. (C) 6. Lima P. 19. Castillo J. 11. Pernia E. 31. Hernandez J.
13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. 5. Martinez L. (C) 19. Simarra A. 27. Carrillo D. 16. De Sousa D. 17. Rodriguez V. 30. Gonzalez A. 7. Cuesta J. 8. Zapata J. 11. Bolivar J.
Substitutes
7. Barros J. 30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 20. Marchan J. 8. Moreno J. 63. Obradovic S. 9. Ponce A. 26. Ramos J. 16. Rosales R. 15. Saggiomo D.
36. Andrade C. 57. Cermeno C. 33. Colmenares C. 24. Cumana Y. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Mendoza K. 1. Morales L. (G) 21. Ortiz C. 28. Ruiz M. 39. Salcedo S. 18. Sarli R. 4. Velasquez W.
Coaches
Sarago E.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vargas J. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
46', Martinez L. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Silva K. ⚽, De Sousa D. (A),
49', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
54', Melendez G. 🟨,
62', Zapata J. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
63', Pernia E. ↓, Flores Barrios R. D. ↑,
63', Lima P. ↓, Marchan J. ↑,
74', Castillo J. ↓, Saggiomo D. ↑,
75', Hernandez J. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
83', Cuesta J. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
83', Rodriguez V. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Saggiomo D. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Bortagaray G. ⚽,
90+4', Bortagaray G. 🟨,
90+5', Sarago E. 🟨,
90+7', De Sousa D. ↓, Sarli R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Puerto Cabello is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Cabello won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 3:1).
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Herrera E. (G) 
Bortagaray G. 
Simarra A. 
Gonzalez A. 
Barros J. 
Obradovic S. 
Morales L. (G) 
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