Match Info

Date: 23 September 2021, Thursday


	Academia Puerto Cabello		Gran Valencia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	5	10.5
	1.11	7	15
	1.12	5.67	11.88
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.13	8.3	15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.93)	5.95 ↑ (3)	11.88 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
76.9%

Draw
15.4%

Gran Valencia
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

19.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Academia Puerto Cabello's performance.

Gran Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-45.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Academia Puerto Cabello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Valencia than the current prediction. (+26.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.9%	12.5%	15.6%

Academia Puerto Cabello - Gran Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Gran Valencia will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puerto Cabello: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Valencia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Puerto Cabello is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.09.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
03.09.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
27.08.21	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
20.08.21	Aragua - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
12.08.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTL
- Gran Valencia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.09.21	Gran Valencia - Aragua	0:1 ✺
10.09.21	Carabobo - Gran Valencia	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Gran Valencia - Deportivo Lara	0:5 ✺
21.08.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Gran Valencia	3:1 ✺
13.08.21	Gran Valencia - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
07.08.21	Gran Valencia - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0
17.06.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Gran Valencia	1:1
29.04.21	Gran Valencia - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0

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