The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 40.4%
Draw 32.2%
Academia Puerto Cabello 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
30.3%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
30.3%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sanchez J. (G) 16. Martinez L. 24. Ortiz G. 5. Gianoli M. 33. Hernandez N. 6. Faya C. 14. Da Silva C. 10. Castellanos J. 77. Arace R. (C) 9. Uribe A. 36. Londono F.
1. Graterol J. (G) 29. Vargas J. 63. Obradovic S. 44. Melendez G. 16. Rosales R. (C) 5. Gonzalez G. 8. Moreno J. 15. Saggiomo D. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 9. Ponce A. 19. Castillo J.
Substitutes
27. Correa J. 88. Flores N. 15. Gonzalez M. 41. Lunar F. 7. Meza J. 3. Osio D. 40. Pacheco A. (G) 8. Perdomo J. 18. Rivas Y. 21. Rodriguez A. 22. Sulbaran M. 11. Vargas J.
4. Baptista F. 7. Barros J. 32. Camacho J. 30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 31. Hernandez J. 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 20. Marchan J. 17. Martinez J. 11. Pernia E. 55. Romero L. (G)
Coaches
Bidoglio H.
Sarago E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Ponce A. ⚽, Rosales R. (A),
29', Saggiomo D. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
45+3', Arace R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortiz G. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
46', Arace R. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
46', Faya C. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Castillo J. ⚽, Flores Barrios R. D. (A),
59', Castellanos J. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
64', Castillo J. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
75', Rosales R. 🟨,
79', Gianoli M. 🟨,
80', Londono F. 🟨,
80', Rosales R. ↓, Baptista F. ↑,
80', Flores Barrios R. D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
81', Moreno J. ↓, Contreras H. ↑,
82', Da Silva C. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', Graterol J. 🟨,
85', Obradovic S. 🟨,
90+1', Perdomo J. 🟨,
90+4', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
90+6', Casiani L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Puerto Cabello may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo La Guaira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo La Guaira won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 0.9:0.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Puerto Cabello
11
5
4
2
15:9
6
19
6
La Guaira
11
5
1
5
21:16
5
16
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo La Guaira - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.