Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.1	3.25
	2.28	3.00	3.29	Watch
	2.14	3.26	3.37	Watch
	2.11	3.21	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	3.42 (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
43.2%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético CP
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Atlético CP have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético CP aligns with the current prediction.

Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 6. Montez A. 17. Marcos Paulo 5. Silva L. (C) 14. Triana C. 18. Cuba 28. Cascavel	1. Ferreira F. (G) 31. Paulinho (C) 23. Almeida B. 4. Henriques D. 5. Durand V. 18. Dias R. 6. Pascoal C. 14. Joaozinho 10. Caleb 96. Herrera J. 9. Nicolas Souza
Substitutes
9. Barbosa N. 12. Gabriel Passos 23. Karseladze J. 1. Macedo N. (G) 21. Pereira F. 10. Pereira N. 93. Souza B. 7. Tiago Andre 27. Vitor G.	7. Barandas M. 11. Delcio 99. Dias R. (G) 28. Ekanga Ondoa H. O. 3. Gonzalez F. 60. Marques R. 19. Okoli F. 20. Pereira R. 38. Santana C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Pascoal C. 🟨,
62', Triana C. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,
62', Cascavel ↓, Souza B. ↑,
62', Pascoal C. ↓, Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ↑,
62', Caleb ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Silva G. ⚽,
77', Nicolas Souza ↓, Delcio ↑,
77', Durand V. ↓, Santana C. ↑,
80', 🟨,
84', Paulinho ↓, Marques R. ↑,
84', Cuba ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
84', Silva L. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Barbosa N. ⚽,
90+3', Marcos Paulo ↓, Gabriel Passos ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Académica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Académica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Académica won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Belenenses	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Académica Coimbra - Os Marialvas	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
24.08.25	Mafra - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	1 Dezembro - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL
- Atlético CP
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Atlético CP - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.25	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atlético CP - Caldas	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Atlético CP - Amora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.01.25	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:1
15.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:3
04.05.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	1:1
10.03.24	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:3
27.01.24	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:2
29.10.23	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	2:1

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