Match Info
Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Canal 11 |
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Mafra |
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Académica Coimbra |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.68 |
3.05 |
2.4 |
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 |
2.8 |
3.05 |
2.54 |
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 |
2.9 |
2.96 |
2.59 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.92 |
2.46 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(3.05) |
2.98 ↑
(2.93) |
2.5 ↑
(2.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mafra
32.9% | Draw
30.6% | Académica Coimbra
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Mafra - Académica Coimbra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Lemos F. (G)
5.  Beni D.
19.  Iheanacho S.
20.  Maiga Y.
7. Matos R.
90. Moreira R.
85. Neves L.
9.  Niang M.
13. Raposo C.
46. Sambu B.
52. Xico
| 98. Alves C. (G)
2. Baixinho M.
21. Candeias D.
18. Cuba
11.  Farias E.
15. Kaka
17. Marcos Paulo
6. Montez A.
5. Silva L.
93.  Souza B.
3. Teixeira R.
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| Substitutes |
39. Andrey
66. Ferreira J.
30.  Ninte M.
6. Pinto R.
27. Precatado J.
4. Queta M.
33. Silva P. (G)
96. So S.
| 9. Barbosa N.
8. Jesus P.
.  Jorge
1. Macedo N. (G)
12. Passos G.
4. Silva G.
20.  Sinisterra J.
7. Tiago Andre
14. Triana C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Sambu B. 🟨,
- 6', Silva L. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Iheanacho S. ⚽, Matos R. (A),
- 19', (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', 2 - 0, Iheanacho S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 53', 3 - 0, Neves L. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
- 55', Raposo C. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 1, Souza B. ⚽, Silva L. (A),
- 60', Candeias D. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,
- 66', Neves L. 🟨,
- 66', Xico 🟨,
- 68', Matos R. ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 71', 3 - 2, Cuba ⚽,
- 74', Kaka ↓, Triana C. ↑,
- 74', Marcos Paulo ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
- 76', 3 - 3, Triana C. ⚽,
- 79', Cuba 🟨,
- 83', Raposo C. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 86', Moreira R. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
- 87', Cuba ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 90+7', Baixinho M. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 2.Mafra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Académica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Mafra - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 3 | | | 15.03.26 | Académica Coimbra - Mafra | 2:0 | | 06.12.25 | Académica Coimbra - Mafra | 3:3 | | 24.08.25 | Mafra - Académica Coimbra | 1:0 | | Portuguese Liga 2 | | | 30.04.22 | Académica Coimbra - Mafra | 0:2 | | 18.12.21 | Mafra - Académica Coimbra | 2:2 | | 08.05.21 | Mafra - Académica Coimbra | 2:2 | | 11.01.21 | Académica Coimbra - Mafra | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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