Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Académica Coimbra		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.05	3.15
	2.29	3	3.15
	2.43	3.22	3.21
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.36	3.14	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.76)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	3.13 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
40.4%

Draw
30.2%

Leixões
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Académica Coimbra's performance.

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leixões might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académica Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Académica Coimbra - Leixões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).

Académica is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leixões is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Académica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Académica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Académica won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.22	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
19.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
28.12.21	Académica Coimbra - Trofense	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Mafra - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Académica Coimbra - Chaves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
24.01.22	Leixões - Chaves	1:1 ✺
17.01.22	Farense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Nacional - Leixões	2:0 ✺
11.12.21	Leixões - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.08.21	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	2:1
22.05.21	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	1:2
26.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:1
26.01.20	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	1:1
11.08.19	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	3:2
27.04.19	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	1:1
30.12.18	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	2:1

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