Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)


	Académica Coimbra		Leixões

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.10	2.20
	2.75	3.20	2.25
	2.65	3.15	2.38
	3.14	3.40	2.35
	2.91	3.29	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.30	2.30
	2.98	3.24	2.30	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.73)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	2.31 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
31.5%

Draw
28.5%

Leixões
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Académica Coimbra - Leixões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Victor Braga (G) 2. Sanchez X. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 25. Pierre L. 5. Silva L. (C) 20. Sinisterra J. 8. Zohi K. 92. Coundoul A. 19. Rodrigues A.	51. Stefanovic I. (C) 77. Paulinho 63. Faria H. 4. Matheus Costa 30. Serif N. 7. Agra S. 22. Araujo C. 6. Balde A. 10. Barbosa R. 9. Bica 35. Rochez B.
Substitutes
98. Alves C. (G) 10. Faure I. 23. Gomes R. 13. Kauan 22. Lopes H. 1. Macedo N. (G) 7. Mane A. 17. Marcos Paulo 54. Ni Rodrigues 46. Nunes H. 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 9. Tavares M.	14. Alysson 17. Arthur Baggio 80. Assuncao J. 26. Caio (G) 2. Fonseca F. 75. Jamerson 71. Kaique 33. Luccas Paraizo 88. Pina R. 79. Roka 44. Semeu 15. Simaozinho
Coaches
Barbosa A.	Fangueiro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Balde A. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Silva L. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 2 - 0, Sinisterra J. ⚽, Zohi K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bica ↓, Assuncao J. ↑,
46', Agra S. ↓, Semeu ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Coundoul A. ⚽,
59', Kaka 🟨,
61', Assuncao J. 🟨,
65', Zohi K. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
66', Silva L. ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
77', Kaka ↓, Lopes H. ↑,
77', Coundoul A. ↓, Faure I. ↑,
77', Barbosa R. ↓, Arthur Baggio ↑,
79', Rochez B. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
80', Arthur Baggio 🟨,
81', 4 - 0, Sinisterra J. ⚽,
85', Sinisterra J. ↓, Nunes H. ↑,
86', Rodrigues A. 🟨,
90', Araujo C. ↓, Jamerson ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Académica has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Académica against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Academica	8	5	0	3	14:10	4	15
11	Leixoes	8	3	1	4	9:12	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leixões - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.18%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Académica Coimbra - Amarante	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.26	Leiria - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.09.26	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL
- Leixões SC
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Vianense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.26	Leixões - Porto B	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Cinfães - Leixões	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Torreense - Leixões	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Leixões - Amarante	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:0
22.08.21	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	2:1
22.05.21	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	1:2
26.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:1
26.01.20	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	1:1
11.08.19	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	3:2
27.04.19	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	1:1

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