Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Torreense		Leixões

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.25	2.95	2.90
	2.18	3.05	3.3
	2.27	3.23	3.52
	2.21	3.15	3.41	Watch
	2.19	3.15	3.4
	2.2	3.13	3.36	Watch
	2.16	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	3.31 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
42%

Draw
30%

Leixões
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Torreense - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adriel (G) 22. David Bruno 4. Volnei 2. Stopira (C) 3. Alcedo J. 26. Simoes A. 6. Oudrhiri A. 8. Alfaro A. 11. Pozo M. 17. Drammeh M. 7. Jean D.	51. Stefanovic I. (C) 2. Fonseca F. 44. Semeu 4. Matheus Costa 30. Serif N. 6. Balde A. 10. Barbosa R. 7. Agra S. 22. Araujo C. 33. Luccas Paraizo 35. Rochez B.
Substitutes
27. Abubakari M. 47. Baradji A. 10. Costinha 90. Felix V. 21. Jatta N. 33. Marques J. 5. Mohamed D. 45. Mutombo J. 16. Olmeta L. (G) 29. Quintero L. 23. Vazquez J. 19. Zoabi K.	14. Alysson 17. Arthur Baggio 26. Caio (G) 21. De Armas A. 63. Faria H. 3. Figueiredo L. 83. Goncalves A. 71. Kaique 8. Miguel Sousa 77. Paulinho 79. Roka 15. Simaozinho
Coaches
Tralhao L.	Fangueiro C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Barbosa R. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
61', Drammeh M. ↓, Abubakari M. ↑,
61', Simoes A. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
62', Serif N. 🟨,
63', Alfaro A. 🟨,
73', Agra S. ↓, Roka ↑,
73', Serif N. ↓, Simaozinho ↑,
78', Oudrhiri A. ↓, Mohamed D. ↑,
78', Pozo M. ↓, Baradji A. ↑,
83', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
83', Luccas Paraizo ↓, Kaique ↑,
83', Fonseca F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
83', Jean D. ↓, Felix V. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Torreense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Torreense - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Leixões - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
05.09.26	Benfica B - Torreense	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Torreense - Vizela	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lusitânia - Torreense	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Torreense - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Farense - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTTL
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
06.09.26	Leixões - Amarante	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Portimonense - Leixões	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Leixões - Leiria	2:4 ✺
16.08.26	Leixões - Tondela	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Benfica B - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.26	Torreense - Leixões	1:1
09.11.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:0
11.05.25	Torreense - Leixões	3:2
12.01.25	Leixões - Torreense	1:1
14.04.24	Leixões - Torreense	1:1
03.12.23	Torreense - Leixões	0:0
22.04.23	Torreense - Leixões	2:0

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