Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO NACIONAL U19 - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Académica Coimbra U19		Sporting Lisbon U19

	1	X	2
	8.75	4.8	1.27
	7	4.5	1.36
	8.33	5.15	1.25
	8.33	5.15	1.26
	8.7	5.35	1.25
	5.6	4.1	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.79 ↑ (5.63)	4.84 ↑ (4.1)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra U19
11.7%

Draw
18.8%

Sporting Lisbon U19
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22.1%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

21.7%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sporting Lisbon U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra U19 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U19 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Académica Coimbra U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).

Recent matches Académica U19 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting U19 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Académica U19 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting U19 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
05.11.23	Académico de Viseu U19 - Académica Coimbra U19	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	Torreense U19 - Académica Coimbra U19	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Académica Coimbra U19 - Estoril U19	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	SC Lusitânia U19 - Académica Coimbra U19	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Académica Coimbra U19 - Benfica U19	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWL
- Sporting Lisbon U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
05.11.23	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Académico de Viseu U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Belenenses U19	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Torreense U19	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Estoril U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

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