Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Académico de Viseu		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.73	3.45	4.3
	1.77	3.55	4.3
	1.75	3.88	4.87
	1.73	3.3	4.33
	1.71	3.64	4.4
	1.77	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	4.4 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
53.1%

Draw
26%

BSAD
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Académico de Viseu - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: Académico de Viseu will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Viseu in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches BSAD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Viseu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Viseu is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Viseu to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Viseu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.22	Vilafranquense - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
19.10.22	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Académico de Viseu - Oriental	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Académico de Viseu	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWW
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Olhanense - BSAD	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.22	BSAD - Farense	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Joane - BSAD	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
29.10.14	BSAD - Académico de Viseu	3:0 penalties
24.09.14	Académico de Viseu - BSAD	3:1

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