Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Torreense		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.87	3.25	3.7
	1.86	3.4	3.8
	1.92	3.4	3.65
	1.95	3.61	4.08
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.89	3.45	3.72
	1.94	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.17)	3.78 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
48.4%

Draw
27.2%

BSAD
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torreense's performance.

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BSAD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torreense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BSAD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Torreense - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). BSAD will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Torreense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Torreense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Belenenses - Torreense	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.22	Porto B - Torreense	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Torreense - Tondela	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW
- BSAD
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Olhanense - BSAD	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.22	BSAD - Farense	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Joane - BSAD	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.22	Tondela - BSAD	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	BSAD - Feirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLT

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