Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Silva H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	BSAD		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.85
	3.25	3.4	1.93
	3.4	3.4	1.97
	3.3	3.5	1.98
	3.47	3.77	2.08
	3.3	3.25	2
	3.3	3.54	1.99
	3.35	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.7)	3.52 ↑ (3.13)	1.98 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
27.4%

Draw
26.1%

Benfica B
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BSAD's form might have worsened.

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BSAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

BSAD - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Benfica B will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 8).

Recent matches BSAD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently BSAD have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches BSAD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Olhanense - BSAD	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.22	BSAD - Farense	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Joane - BSAD	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.22	Tondela - BSAD	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
18.10.22	Benfica B - Mafra	5:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oliveirense - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
10.09.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Benfica B - Leixões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.12	Benfica B - BSAD	6:0

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