Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	BSAD		Farense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.25	2.15
	3.52	3.48	2.17
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.3	3.32	2.07
	3.2	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)	3.24 (3.24)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
28.3%

Draw
28.3%

Farense
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

BSAD - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Farense will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Recent matches BSAD is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Farense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches BSAD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams BSAD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Joane - BSAD	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.22	Tondela - BSAD	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	BSAD - Feirense	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Nacional - BSAD	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	BSAD - Moreirense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTWL
- SC Farense
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	SB Castelo Branco - Farense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Farense - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Leixões - Farense	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Farense - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
29.08.22	Mafra - Farense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
13.03.21	Farense - BSAD	0:1
31.10.20	BSAD - Farense	1:1
Club Friendly
21.07.19	Farense - BSAD	1:1

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