Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Académico de Viseu		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.65
	1.82	3.42	4.97
	1.90	3.18	4.34	Watch
	1.8	3.32	4.64	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	4.68 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
51.8%

Draw
28.4%

Lusitânia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Académico de Viseu - Lusitânia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Viseu (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Académico de Viseu will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 2. Michelis N. 41. Correia A. 66. Milioransa I. 7. Silva L. (C) 14. Messeguem S. 32. Zamora A. 17. Kahraman C. 31. Joao Guilherme 33. Andre Clovis	32. Vitor Hugo (G) 28. Mesquita T. (C) 4. Collard D. 3. Josue Sa 29. Cerveira T. 8. Tokinho Doria 88. Teixeira M. 11. Pereira M. 27. Fabinho 12. Arsenio 9. Silva J.
Substitutes
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 57. Costa G. 47. Gohi L. 8. Kone S. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 20. Rojas B. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T.	74. Braga G. 60. Danny 20. Do Marcolino F. 21. Joao Vasco 80. Manel 33. Ortiz N. 19. Palacios A. 23. Sousa M. (G) 77. Tiago Dias
Coaches
Fonseca S.	Miguel Pedro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Milioransa I. 🟥,
13', 0 - 1, Arsenio (Pen),
15', Arsenio 🟨,
17', Cerveira T. 🟨,
19', 0 - 2, Fabinho ⚽, Cerveira T. (A),
23', Kahraman C. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
31', 1 - 2, Zamora A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 2, Andre Clovis ⚽,
66', Joao Guilherme ↓, Gohi L. ↑,
71', Cerveira T. ↓, Braga G. ↑,
71', Arsenio ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
72', Teixeira M. ↓, Danny ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Zamora A. ⚽, Gohi L. (A),
87', Fabinho ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
87', Mesquita T. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
88', Zamora A. ↓, Pedro Barcelos ↑,
90+6', Costa G. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Viseu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lusitânia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Viseu is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Viseu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.25	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:5 ✺
25.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.25	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWTL
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.25	Lusitânia - Vizela	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Lusitânia - Resende	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Lusitânia - Farense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Feirense - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Lusitânia - Académico de Viseu	1:2

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