The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leixões 16.9%
Draw 25.4%
Académico de Viseu 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
28.8%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
29.8%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leixões's form might have worsened.
Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Académico de Viseu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+22.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leixões, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
58.3%
16.7%
Leixões - Académico de Viseu Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Viseu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morro M. (G) 77. Paulinho 3. Figueiredo L. 5. Naldo 15. Simaozinho 11. Agra S. 13. Evrard Zag 36. Dodo D. 7. Werton 9. Bica 91. Valente R. (C)
75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 2. Michelis N. 41. Correia A. 66. Milioransa I. 17. Kahraman C. 14. Messeguem S. 7. Silva L. (C) 32. Zamora A. 33. Andre Clovis 31. Joao Guilherme
Substitutes
22. Araujo C. 18. Kanuric B. 8. Neto 6. Paulinho 10. Paulite 4. Rafael Santos 35. Rochez B. 30. Serif N. 51. Stefanovic I. (G)
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 57. Costa G. 47. Gohi L. 16. Guedes R. 8. Kone S. 5. Pedro Barcelos 20. Rojas B. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T.
Coaches
Fonseca J. N.
Fonseca S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Andre Clovis ⚽, Zamora A. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Andre Clovis ⚽,
29', Bica 🟥,
45', Evrard Zag 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Dodo D. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Andre Clovis ⚽,
58', Paulinho ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
58', Evrard Zag ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Joao Guilherme (Pen),
68', Joao Guilherme ↓, Gohi L. ↑,
68', Zamora A. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
71', Valente R. ↓, Paulite ↑,
71', Werton ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Rochez B. ⚽, Kanuric B. (A),
76', Rafael Santos 🟨,
80', Kahraman C. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
87', Silva L. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
87', Correia A. ↓, Pedro Barcelos ↑,
90+3', 1 - 5, Milioransa I. ⚽, Silva B. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
Leixões has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Viseu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Leixões has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
Portugal
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Morro M. (G) 
Paulinho 
Naldo 
Evrard Zag 
Dodo D. 
Gril D. (G) 
Michelis N. 
Correia A. 
Kahraman C. 
Messeguem S. 
Zamora A. 
Kanuric B. 
Rochez B. 
Stefanovic I. (G) 
Kone S. 
Rojas B. 
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