Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Juan Antonio Arias Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Liniers		Acassuso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.1	3.15	Watch
	2.35	3.01	3.05
	2.31	3.03	3.07	Watch
	2	2.9	3.8
	2.37	2.99	3.2
	2.28	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)	3.02 ↓ (3.24)	3.24 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liniers
40.8%

Draw
30.6%

Acassuso
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liniers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Liniers - Acassuso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo H. (G) 3. Canosa J. 6. Pacheco O. 2. Gayoso E. 4. Maciel E. 7. Gimenez W. 8. Ramirez P. 5. Torres J. 10. Reynoso R. 11. Guallama D. 9. Chavez C.	1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Filippetto E. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. De Stefano D. 5. Ponce J. 7. Mino L. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Habib T. 11. Senn F.
Substitutes
19. Bulacio E. 17. Calo L. 12. Fumo R. (G) 16. Gridel M. 13. Jasni F. 15. Klipauka A. 20. Linas M. 14. Lopez R. 18. Sallaberry I.	13. Dordoni B. 14. Etcheverri R. 18. Hernandez B. 16. Nicolaievsky F. 20. Occhiato A. 17. Ramirez U. 19. Sanabria A. 15. Santaliz T. 12. Tursi F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Reynoso R. 🟨,
20', Ramirez P. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Habib T. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Serrizuela J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gimenez W. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
46', Reynoso R. ↓, Gridel M. ↑,
48', De Stefano D. 🟨,
57', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
70', Hermoso A. ↓, Ramirez U. ↑,
70', Guallama D. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
70', Ramirez P. ↓, Calo L. ↑,
77', Habib T. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
80', Pacheco O. ↓, Bulacio E. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Bulacio E. ⚽,
83', De Stefano D. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
83', Senn F. ↓, Occhiato A. ↑,
83', Ruiz A. ↓, Dordoni B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Acassuso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liniers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Liniers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
10.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Liniers	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Liniers	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Liniers - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Deportivo Flandria - Liniers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWL
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
10.05.25	Acassuso - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	0:3 ✺
28.04.25	Acassuso - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Sacachispas - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Acassuso - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.06.24	Liniers - Acassuso	1:1
03.02.24	Acassuso - Liniers	0:0

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