Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)


	Acassuso		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.25
	2.50	2.90	2.75
	2.54	3.00	3.43
	2.41	2.97	3.21	Watch
	2.50	2.70	3.35
	2.43	2.83	3.29
	2.35	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.29)	2.86 ↓ (3.02)	3.19 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
38.2%

Draw
32.6%

Mitre
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Mitre aligns with the current prediction.

Acassuso - Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Borges S. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Dordoni B. 3. Ruiz A. 7. Acosta N. 8. Dubini K. (C) 5. Petillo N. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Escalante D. 11. Rodriguez T.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Cabral Y. 6. Abello D. 3. Ferrari F. 10. Avaro E. 8. Zarate J. 5. Alessandroni J. 11. Ramirez A. 9. Machado M. 7. Vazquez M.
Substitutes
15. de Estefano D. 12. Luque J. (G) 17. Monaco M. 13. Pioli L. 14. Ponce J. 16. Raccio J. 20. Rey L. 18. Reynoso R. 19. Romero L.	16. Correa L. 15. Ferrari M. 18. Gonzalez R. 20. Gorla F. J. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 19. Mendoza L. 13. Romero M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Pioli L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Vazquez M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
56', Avaro E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Hermoso A. ⚽, Escalante D. (A),
68', Acosta N. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
74', Zarate J. ↓, Mendoza L. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Rodriguez T. ⚽,
84', Hermoso A. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
84', Borges S. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
85', Escalante D. ↓, de Estefano D. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 13th).

Acassuso is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mitre has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mitre could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Acassuso has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Acassuso - All Boys	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Los Andes - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Acassuso - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Acassuso - Godoy Cruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.09.26	Mitre - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Mitre	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mitre - Central Norte	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mitre - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Mitre - Acassuso	2:0

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