The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 55.9%
Draw 28.4%
Acassuso 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
27%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
21.4%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Dure F. 2. Bernardi B. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Quinteros F. 10. Sena F. 5. Melo R. 8. Rodriguez R. 11. Acosta E. 7. Ardiles F. 9. Acosta M.
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Borges S. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 7. Acosta N. 5. Petillo N. 8. Dubini K. (C) 10. Hermoso A. 9. Escalante D. 11. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
13. Albarracin M. 20. Almiron E. 18. Camacho S. 17. Nunez M. 14. Sanchez de Leon B. 16. Silva L. 15. Squie T. 19. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)
19. Gonzalez A. 12. Luque J. (G) 13. Pioli L. 14. Ponce J. 15. Postigo J. 16. Raccio J. 18. Reynoso R. 20. Senn F. 17. Serrano V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Caro Nicolas 🟨,
29', Quinteros F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez R. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
69', Melo R. ↓, Sanchez de Leon B. ↑,
69', Acosta M. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
69', Acosta E. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
75', Hermoso A. ↓, Senn F. ↑,
75', Rodriguez T. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
76', Escalante D. 🟨,
81', Dure F. ↓, Albarracin M. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Almiron E. ⚽,
83', Ruiz A. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
86', Acosta N. ↓, Reynoso R. ↑,
86', Albarracin M. 🟨,
90', Petillo N. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Acassuso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Acassuso has had a series of home games.
In this match, CA Estudiantes is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
Usa
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Lungarzo J. (G) 
Petillo N. 
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