Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mitre		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.75
	1.80	3.10	4.50
	1.88	2.85	4.5	Watch
	2	3.07	4.74
	1.82	3.16	5.02	Watch
	1.89	3.05	4.75
	1.93	2.97	4.69	Watch
	1.92	2.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)	3.01 ↑ (2.7)	4.66 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
49.1%

Draw
30.9%

Central Norte
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

33.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

32.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mitre - Central Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mieres B. 2. Cabral Y. 6. Romero M. 3. Ferrari F. 10. Avaro E. 8. Vazquez M. 5. Alessandroni J. 11. Gonzalez R. 9. Machado M. 7. Cabral F.	1. Hass F. (G) 3. Sanz P. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 4. Rosales M. 7. Moravec M. 5. Villarreal M. 8. Mancuso G. 10. Bustinduy A. 11. Castro T. 9. Borda F.
Substitutes
15. Correa L. 16. Ferrari M. 18. Garrido O. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 19. Mendoza L. 13. Minissale P. 14. Rodriguez S. 20. Zarate J.	15. Aleo A. 16. Bodencer E. 14. Felissia L. 18. Mateo J. 13. Pucheta A. 19. Quiroga S. 20. Taobas T. 12. Vazquez E. (G) 17. Vedoya F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Cabral F. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Machado M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Zarate J. ⚽, Mieres B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mancuso G. ↓, Bodencer E. ↑,
47', Rosales M. 🟨,
56', Bustinduy A. ↓, Vedoya F. ↑,
57', Moravec M. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
67', Vazquez M. ↓, Garrido O. ↑,
73', Mieres B. 🟨,
74', Rosales M. ↓, Taobas T. ↑,
79', Machado M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
79', Mieres B. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
82', Sanz P. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Romero M. (Own goal),
90+5', 2 - 2, Borda F. ⚽, Vedoya F. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent performances by Mitre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Norte is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mitre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Norte has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mitre is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mitre won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mitre - Güemes	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Mitre	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Mitre - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWT
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
10.08.26	All Boys - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Central Norte - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Central Norte - Mitre	1:1
27.07.25	Mitre - Central Norte	0:2
23.03.25	Central Norte - Mitre	0:2

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