Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Accra Hearts of Oak		Ebusua Dwarfs

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.65	3.35	4.8
	1.71	3.47	5.14
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.73	3.44	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)	3.39 ↑ (3)	4.76 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accra Hearts of Oak
54%

Draw
26.8%

Ebusua Dwarfs
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

30%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

19.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accra Hearts of Oak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accra Hearts of Oak's performance.

Ebusua Dwarfs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accra Hearts of Oak than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accra Hearts of Oak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebusua Dwarfs than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ebusua Dwarfs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ebusua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hearts of Oak is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hearts of Oak won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hearts of Oak won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accra Hearts of Oak
Ghanaian Premier League
07.02.21	Accra Hearts of Oak - Legon Cities	1:1 ✺
04.02.21	Medeama - Accra Hearts of Oak	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Accra Hearts of Oak - Great Olympics	0:2 ✺
23.01.21	Berekum Chelsea - Accra Hearts of Oak	0:0 ✺
17.01.21	Accra Hearts of Oak - Eleven Wonders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTW
- Ebusua Dwarfs
Ghanaian Premier League
14.02.21	Ebusua Dwarfs - Karela	1:2 ✺
06.02.21	International Allies - Ebusua Dwarfs	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Ebusua Dwarfs - Ashanti Gold	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Aduana Stars - Ebusua Dwarfs	2:2 ✺
24.01.21	Ebusua Dwarfs - Sogakope WAFA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ghanaian Premier League
12.01.20	Accra Hearts of Oak - Ebusua Dwarfs	2:1
29.03.18	Ebusua Dwarfs - Accra Hearts of Oak	0:2
Club Friendly
13.01.18	Ebusua Dwarfs - Accra Hearts of Oak	2:3
Ghanaian Premier League
08.10.17	Accra Hearts of Oak - Ebusua Dwarfs	2:1
22.02.17	Ebusua Dwarfs - Accra Hearts of Oak	1:1
11.09.16	Accra Hearts of Oak - Ebusua Dwarfs	1:0
26.02.14	Accra Hearts of Oak - Ebusua Dwarfs	0:0

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