Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Aceuchal		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.82
	3.6	3	1.86
	3.9	3.15	1.8
	3.68	3.31	1.85
	3.9	3.38	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (3.84)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	1.84 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aceuchal
23.7%

Draw
27.7%

Llerenense
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

28.6%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

22.4%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aceuchal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aceuchal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aceuchal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aceuchal - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Aceuchal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llerenense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Llerenense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Llerenense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aceuchal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aceuchal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EMD Aceuchal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.03.22	Villafranca - Aceuchal	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Aceuchal - Azuaga	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Calamonte - Aceuchal	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Aceuchal - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Aceuchal - Moralo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLLTW
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.03.22	Llerenense - Jerez	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Arroyo - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Llerenense - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Llerenense - Badajoz B	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	Extremadura UD B - Llerenense	Llerenense awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.11.21	Llerenense - Aceuchal	1:1
10.02.19	Llerenense - Aceuchal	1:2
23.09.18	Aceuchal - Llerenense	1:2

Aceuchal - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide