Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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Llerenense |
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Jerez |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.39 |
3.08 |
2.93 |
|
 |
2.09 |
3.22 |
3.36 |
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2.38 |
2.9 |
2.88 |
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2.33 |
2.99 |
2.96 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.03) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
3.07 ↓
(3.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llerenense
40.4% | Draw
29.8% | Jerez
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Llerenense - Jerez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Millan R. G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1.Both teams are currently in poor form. Llerenense could have a small edge in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Jerez - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.51%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 16.11.25 | Jerez - Llerenense | 4:1 | | 19.01.25 | Jerez - Llerenense | 2:1 | | 04.03.23 | Llerenense - Jerez | 1:1 | | 30.10.22 | Jerez - Llerenense | 1:3 | | 01.05.22 | Llerenense - Jerez | 1:1 | | 05.03.22 | Llerenense - Jerez | 2:1 | | 31.10.21 | Jerez - Llerenense | 3:0 |
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