Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 11

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Igea Virtus Barcellona		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.49	4.19	5.15
	1.51	3.85	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.89)	4.01 ↑ (3.37)	5.17 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igea Virtus Barcellona
60%

Draw
22.5%

Castrovillari
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Igea Virtus Barcellona's performance.

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrovillari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igea Virtus Barcellona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrovillari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Igea Virtus Barcellona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castrovillari is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Igea Virtus Barcellona have a series of guest games.

In this match Igea Virtus Barcellona is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Igea Virtus Barcellona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Igea Virtus Barcellona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.10.23	Trapani - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Città di SantAgata - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Licata - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Lamezia Terme - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWLW
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.10.23	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Locri - Castrovillari	2:2 ✺
15.10.23	Castrovillari - Canicattì	0:1 ✺
04.10.23	Castrovillari - Akragas	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Vibonese - Castrovillari	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
12.12.18	Castrovillari - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0
08.12.16	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Castrovillari	0:0

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide