Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.68	3.45
	2.31	2.64	3.64	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.3
	2.3	3	3.34	Watch
	2.22	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.23)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)	3.45 (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
40.2%

Draw
33.4%

Fasil Kenema
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

33.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

35.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bahir Dar Kenema have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bahir Dar will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 2.

In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fasil Kenema is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bahir Dar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
19.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
06.03.25	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0
09.02.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema	2:1
09.05.24	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0
03.11.23	Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema	0:0
08.04.23	Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema	2:1
29.10.22	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0
13.05.22	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0

Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide