Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Fasil Kenema		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.58	3.15
	2.59	2.6	3.06
	2.57	2.62	3.16	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3.1
	2.49	2.59	3.18	Watch
	2.6	2.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.44)	2.58 ↓ (2.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
35.8%

Draw
35.1%

Negele Arsi Ketema
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

34.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

35.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-2%)

Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Birhanu Y. ⚽,
77', Eboussi P. 🟥,
79', Debebe M. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 9).

Fasil Kenema has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Negele Arsi Ketema is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.25	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Mechal - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWTT
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
07.12.25	Hadiya Hossana - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sheger Ketema	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
20.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WTWWT

Fasil Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide