Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Adama City		Saint George

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.52	2.42
	3.78	2.38	2.5
	3.62	2.48	2.46	Watch
	3.2	2.45	2.45
	3.68	2.46	2.56
	3.66	2.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.03)	2.45 ↓ (3.01)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
25.8%

Draw
37.3%

Saint George
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

30%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Adama City - Saint George Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kassim M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2.

Adama City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Saint George has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.11.25	Ethio Electric - Adama City	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Arba Minch - Adama City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWLWW
- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
02.12.25	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ethio Electric - Saint George	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Saint George - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
11.05.25	Saint George - Adama City	0:1
09.01.25	Adama City - Saint George	1:2
29.03.24	Adama City - Saint George	2:1
27.10.23	Saint George - Adama City	2:2
15.04.23	Saint George - Adama City	2:1
18.10.22	Adama City - Saint George	1:2
08.05.22	Saint George - Adama City	1:0

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