Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Arba Minch		Adama City

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.82	2.68
	2.63	2.85	2.77	Watch
	2.61	2.79	2.69	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.97)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	2.71 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
34.5%

Draw
32.3%

Adama City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arba Minch's form might have worsened.

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adama City's recent form is better than expected.

Arba Minch - Adama City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Adama City (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adama City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
41', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 3.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.10.25	Ethio Electric - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
23.06.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	0:1 ✺
16.06.25	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTWT
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.10.25	Adama City - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
23.10.25	Sheger Ketema - Adama City	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Adama City - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
24.06.25	Hawassa City - Adama City	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.03.25	Adama City - Arba Minch	1:3
13.01.25	Arba Minch - Adama City	2:0
20.05.23	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:0
01.12.22	Arba Minch - Adama City	1:0
11.05.22	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:0
18.12.21	Arba Minch - Adama City	1:1
17.06.18	Adama City - Arba Minch	1:1

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