Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Adama City

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.55	3.10
	2.52	2.48	3.1
	2.79	2.37	3.38
	2.68	2.4	3.36	Watch
	2.43	3.03	3.06	Watch
	2.55	2.48	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.01)	2.55 ↓ (2.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
35.5%

Draw
35.8%

Adama City
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

32.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adama City's recent form is better than expected.

Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Adama City (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Adama City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Eboussi P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Negele Arsi Ketema holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Negele Arsi Ketema has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Negele Arsi Ketema against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	4	2	2	0	5:1	4	8
8	Adama City	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Last Results with these Odds

Adama City - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 22.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
21.10.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:3 ✺
16.10.26	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Negele Arsi Ketema	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTLW
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.10.26	Saint George - Adama City	1:1 ✺
16.10.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	Ethio Electric - Adama City	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Hawassa City - Adama City	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	Adama City - Welayta Dicha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
05.04.26	Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2
20.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City	2:1

Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City