Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Adamstown Oval (Newcastle)


	Adamstown Rosebud		Belmont Swansea United

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.33	1.7	Watch
				Watch
	3.57	4.36	1.72
	14.53	9.25	1.11	Watch
	3.7	3.9	1.7
	3.84	4.15	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↑ (3.6)	5.2 ↑ (4.2)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adamstown Rosebud
17.3%

Draw
19.3%

Belmont Swansea United
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

21.4%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

21%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adamstown Rosebud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adamstown Rosebud's form might have worsened.

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belmont Swansea United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adamstown Rosebud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Swansea United than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belmont Swansea United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Adamstown Rosebud has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belmont Swansea is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Belmont Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Belmont Swansea has had a series of home games.

In this match, Belmont Swansea is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Adamstown Rosebud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
02.05.26	Cooks Hill United - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Lambton Jaffas	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
02.05.26	Lambton Jaffas - Belmont Swansea United	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Kahibah	5:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Edgeworth Eagles	4:3 ✺
27.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
27.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	0:2
13.02.25	Belmont Swansea United - Adamstown Rosebud	5:2

Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide