Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 28

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Erdogan M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Adana Demirspor		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.22	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.36	3.3	3.05
	2.4	3.35	3.21
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.4	3.5	3.11	Watch
	2.29	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.18)	3.4 ↓ (3.6)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
40.8%

Draw
27.8%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.4%	31%	27.6%

Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adana Demirspor: 23.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 31. Atal Y. 5. Gravillon A. 4. Guler S. (C) 13. Mohammadi M. 58. Maestro 20. Michut E. 32. Erdogan Y. 11. Mendoza S. 8. Akbaba E. 9. Balotelli M.	31. Sirigu S. (G) 30. Sangare N. 4. Biraschi D. 54. Dursun S. 18. Mercan L. (C) 8. Feghouli S. 21. Kourbelis D. 11. Mor E. 9. Eysseric V. 7. Keles C. 70. Marcao
Substitutes
6. Aydogan T. 17. Aymbetov A. 56. Barasi Y. 21. Burak A. 66. Cisse P. A. 2. Cokcalis I. 60. Demirbag O. 24. Ersoy B. 39. Karakus V. (G) 15. Manev J.	91. Bertolacci A. 23. Bilgin E. (G) 26. Ceccherini F. 25. Gunter K. 97. Paoletti F. 99. Teklic T. 22. Tintis E. 77. Ugur A. 3. Veseli F. 10. Yalcin G.
Coaches
Karaman H.	Arveladze S.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 3.

Adana Demirspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karagümrük is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Adana Demirspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Rodriguez J. (Red Card)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Adana Demirspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Adana Demirspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish Super League
25.02.24	Trabzonspor - Adana Demirspor	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Alanyaspor - Adana Demirspor	3:3 ✺
09.02.24	Adana Demirspor - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Pendikspor - Adana Demirspor	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Cup
29.02.24	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
25.02.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.02.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
23.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	2:0
17.05.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	2:3
25.12.22	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1
22.01.22	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	5:0
11.09.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	4:0
Turkish First League
30.07.20	Adana Demirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 penalties
07.03.20	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adana Demirspor	2:2

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