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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 30%
Draw 29.7%
Samsunspor 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
25.3%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
25%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Samsunspor will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Samsunspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (C) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. 3. Lichnovsky I. 25. Mladenovic F. 5. Kranevitter M. 6. Elmaz B. 80. Babicka S. 8. Ozcan B. 10. Verde D. 23. Larsson S.
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 5. Yuksel C. 29. Makoumbou A. 2. Mendes J. 21. Holse C. 47. Assoumou J. 19. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
88. Ahmed T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 21. Cukur T. 24. Ersoy B. 72. Kalayci B. 15. Kone 33. Kurukalip C. 19. Onogo Y. 70. Serginho
23. Albak E. 24. Borevkovic T. 55. Cift Y. E. 15. Diabbate A. B. 71. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Gonul S. 20. Kayan Y. 9. Marius 7. Tavsan E. 48. Toruz E. B. (G)
Coaches
Stanojevic A.
Fink T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Mendes J. 🟨,
73', Ozcan B. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
73', Babicka S. ↓, Serginho ↑,
76', Yavru Z. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
76', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
76', Makoumbou A. ↓, Kayan Y. ↑,
84', Larsson S. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
84', Verde D. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
84', Kalayci B. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2.
Karagümrük is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Samsunspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Johnson D.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Asia
Turkey
Watch
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Grbic I. (C) 
Esgaio R. 
Biraschi D. 
Lichnovsky I. 
Mladenovic F. 
Kranevitter M. 
Elmaz B. 
Babicka S. 
Larsson S. 
Satka L. 
Van Drongelen R. 
Tomasson L. 
Makoumbou A. 
Holse C. 
Assoumou J. 
Ndiaye C. 
Serginho 
Marius 
Fink T. 
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