Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday


	Addis Ababa Ketema		Adama City

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.75	2.6	2.75
	2.75	2.5	2.7
	2.86	2.44	2.84
	3.2	2.07	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.67)	2.46 ↓ (2.76)	2.8 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Addis Ababa Ketema
31.5%

Draw
36.5%

Adama City
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

32.6%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Addis Ababa Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Addis Ababa Ketema than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	88.9%	0%

Addis Ababa Ketema - Adama City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Addis Ababa Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Addis Ababa Ketema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Addis Ababa Ketema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Addis Ababa Ketema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.22	Fasil Kenema - Addis Ababa Ketema	2:2 ✺
12.04.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Defence Force	2:0 ✺
07.04.22	Arba Minch - Addis Ababa Ketema	2:1 ✺
31.03.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTL
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.22	Adama City - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
14.04.22	Welayta Dicha - Adama City	0:0 ✺
08.04.22	Adama City - Jimma Aba Jifar	1:1 ✺
01.04.22	Wolkite Kenema - Adama City	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Adama City - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.04.17	Addis Ababa Ketema - Adama City	1:3
10.01.17	Adama City - Addis Ababa Ketema	2:1

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